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Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh: prediction and statistics
England · National League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Harrogate Town 1.8, Eastleigh 1.7; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 55%, typical match 47%.
Result
Market line without margin: Harrogate Town win 57%, draw 24%, Eastleigh win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Harrogate Town: last five matches — W-D-W-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Eastleigh: last five matches — W-L-W-L-L.
Table: Harrogate Town — 5, Eastleigh — 12 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Harrogate Town at home and Eastleigh away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Harrogate Town | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 50 |
| Win rate | 60% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 54% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Harrogate Town won 3, 0 draws, Eastleigh won 2. Per match: 3.6 goals, 0.5 yellow cards.
- 22.02.2020: Harrogate Town 3:0 Eastleigh
- 08.02.2020: Harrogate Town 2:0 Eastleigh
- 02.11.2019: Eastleigh 4:2 Harrogate Town
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.
Who is more likely to win Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh?
Market line without margin: Harrogate Town 57%, draw 24%, Eastleigh 19%.