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Sutton Utd vs Forest Green: prediction and statistics
England · National League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Sutton Utd 2.5, Forest Green 2.4; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 53% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 53%, typical match 34%.
Result
Market line without margin: Sutton Utd win 34%, draw 28%, Forest Green win 39%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Sutton Utd: last five matches — W-W-L-L-W.
Forest Green: last five matches — D-W-L-W-D.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Sutton Utd — 6, Forest Green — 14 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sutton Utd at home and Forest Green away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sutton Utd | Forest Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 51 |
| Win rate | 31% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 59% | 37% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Sutton Utd won 1, 3 draws, Forest Green won 6. Per match: 2.4 goals, 8.3 corners, 3.0 yellow cards.
- 17.01.2026: Sutton Utd 1:1 Forest Green
- 20.08.2025: Forest Green 4:0 Sutton Utd
- 11.03.2025: Forest Green 2:1 Sutton Utd
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Sutton Utd vs Forest Green?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 53%.
Who is more likely to win Sutton Utd vs Forest Green?
Market line without margin: Sutton Utd 34%, draw 28%, Forest Green 39%.