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Carlisle vs Woking: prediction and statistics
England · National League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Carlisle 1.8, Woking 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Carlisle win 57%, draw 23%, Woking win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Carlisle: last five matches — L-W-W-D-D.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Woking: last five matches — W-L-L-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Carlisle — 16, Woking — 18 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Carlisle at home and Woking away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Carlisle | Woking | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 29 | 50 |
| Win rate | 59% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 31% | 42% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Carlisle won 1, 0 draws, Woking won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 10.12.2025: Carlisle 1:3 Woking
- 09.08.2025: Woking 0:2 Carlisle
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Carlisle vs Woking?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win Carlisle vs Woking?
Market line without margin: Carlisle 57%, draw 23%, Woking 20%.