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Southend vs Barrow: prediction and statistics
England · National League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Southend 1.6, Barrow 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 66%.
Result
Market line without margin: Southend win 55%, draw 24%, Barrow win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Southend: last five matches — D-W-L-W-W.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Barrow: last five matches — L-D-D-D-L.
- 16 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Southend — 2, Barrow — 17 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Southend at home and Barrow away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Southend | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 50 | 5 |
| Win rate | 52% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 60% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Southend won 2, 0 draws, Barrow won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals, 7.0 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 01.05.2021: Barrow 1:2 Southend
- 09.01.2021: Southend 1:0 Barrow
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Southend vs Barrow?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win Southend vs Barrow?
Market line without margin: Southend 55%, draw 24%, Barrow 21%.