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Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci: prediction and statistics
Peru · Liga 2 · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Alianza Universidad · Carlos A. Mannucci
Result
Our model: Alianza Universidad win 30%, draw 25%, Carlos A. Mannucci win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Form
Alianza Universidad: last five matches — W-D-W-D-D.
- 7 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Carlos A. Mannucci: last five matches — D-L-D-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Alianza Universidad — 12, Carlos A. Mannucci — 5 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Alianza Universidad at home and Carlos A. Mannucci away, 2024–2026.
| Alianza Universidad | Carlos A. Mannucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 21 | 18 |
| Win rate | 62% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Alianza Universidad won 1, 3 draws, Carlos A. Mannucci won 2. Per match: 1.3 goals, 11.3 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 18.09.2021: Carlos A. Mannucci 1:1 Alianza Universidad
- 19.08.2020: Alianza Universidad 0:1 Carlos A. Mannucci
- 28.09.2019: Carlos A. Mannucci 0:0 Alianza Universidad
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our model: Alianza Universidad 30%, draw 25%, Carlos A. Mannucci 46%.