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Minas vs Molinos El Pirata: prediction and statistics
Peru · Liga 2 · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Minas · Molinos El Pirata
Result
Our model: Minas win 66%, draw 21%, Molinos El Pirata win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Minas: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
Molinos El Pirata: last five matches — L-D-D-D-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Minas — 4, Molinos El Pirata — 10 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Minas at home and Molinos El Pirata away, 2024–2026.
| Minas | Molinos El Pirata | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 29 |
| Win rate | 56% | 14% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Minas won 0, 0 draws, Molinos El Pirata won 1. Per match: 1.0 goals.
- 12.10.2026: Molinos El Pirata 1:0 Minas
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Minas vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our model: Minas 66%, draw 21%, Molinos El Pirata 13%.