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Cesar Vallejo vs Estudiantil CNI: prediction and statistics
Peru · Liga 2 · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Cesar Vallejo · Estudiantil CNI
Result
Our model: Cesar Vallejo win 53%, draw 26%, Estudiantil CNI win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Cesar Vallejo: last five matches — L-D-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Estudiantil CNI: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 13 matches without a win · away
- 4 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Cesar Vallejo — 15, Estudiantil CNI — 14 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cesar Vallejo at home and Estudiantil CNI away, 2024–2026.
| Cesar Vallejo | Estudiantil CNI | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 8 |
| Win rate | 45% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Cesar Vallejo won 0, 1 draws, Estudiantil CNI won 0. Per match: 6.0 goals.
- 07.10.2026: Estudiantil CNI 3:3 Cesar Vallejo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Cesar Vallejo vs Estudiantil CNI?
Our model: Cesar Vallejo 53%, draw 26%, Estudiantil CNI 21%.