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Santos vs Academia Cantolao: prediction and statistics
Peru · Liga 2 · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Santos · Academia Cantolao
Result
Our model: Santos win 74%, draw 17%, Academia Cantolao win 9%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Santos: last five matches — W-W-D-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Academia Cantolao: last five matches — L-L-L-D-D.
- 12 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Santos — 7, Academia Cantolao — 16 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Santos at home and Academia Cantolao away, 2024–2026.
| Santos | Academia Cantolao | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 32 | 32 |
| Win rate | 44% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Santos won 5, 0 draws, Academia Cantolao won 1. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 07.10.2026: Academia Cantolao 0:3 Santos
- 06.07.2025: Santos 2:0 Academia Cantolao
- 17.05.2025: Academia Cantolao 1:2 Santos
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Santos vs Academia Cantolao?
Our model: Santos 74%, draw 17%, Academia Cantolao 9%.