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Bentín Tacna Heroica vs U. San Martin: prediction and statistics
Peru · Liga 2 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Bentín Tacna Heroica · U. San Martin
Result
Our model: Bentín Tacna Heroica win 68%, draw 20%, U. San Martin win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Bentín Tacna Heroica: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 10 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
U. San Martin: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Bentín Tacna Heroica — 2, U. San Martin — 11 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Bentín Tacna Heroica at home and U. San Martin away, 2024–2026.
| Bentín Tacna Heroica | U. San Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 30 |
| Win rate | 65% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Bentín Tacna Heroica won 1, 0 draws, U. San Martin won 2. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 11.10.2026: U. San Martin 2:0 Bentín Tacna Heroica
- 14.06.2025: Bentín Tacna Heroica 2:0 U. San Martin
- 27.04.2025: U. San Martin 2:1 Bentín Tacna Heroica
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Bentín Tacna Heroica vs U. San Martin?
Our model: Bentín Tacna Heroica 68%, draw 20%, U. San Martin 13%.