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Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Comerciantes: prediction and statistics
Peru · Liga 2 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportiva Agropecuaria · Comerciantes
Result
Our model: Deportiva Agropecuaria win 47%, draw 29%, Comerciantes win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 39%.
Form
Deportiva Agropecuaria: last five matches — W-W-D-W-D.
- 11 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Comerciantes: last five matches — D-L-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Deportiva Agropecuaria — 9, Comerciantes — 8 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportiva Agropecuaria at home and Comerciantes away, 2024–2026.
| Deportiva Agropecuaria | Comerciantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 28 | 35 |
| Win rate | 29% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 37% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Deportiva Agropecuaria won 1, 2 draws, Comerciantes won 0. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 11.10.2026: Comerciantes 0:2 Deportiva Agropecuaria
- 30.08.2025: Deportiva Agropecuaria 2:2 Comerciantes
- 26.07.2025: Comerciantes 1:1 Deportiva Agropecuaria
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Comerciantes?
Our model: Deportiva Agropecuaria 47%, draw 29%, Comerciantes 24%.