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Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Atlanta United FC 5.3, Inter Miami 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Atlanta United FC 1.8, Inter Miami 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Form
Atlanta United FC: last five matches — W-L-L-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Inter Miami: last five matches — W-L-D-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Atlanta United FC — 28, Inter Miami — 3 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atlanta United FC at home and Inter Miami away, 2024–2026.
| Atlanta United FC | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 51 |
| Win rate | 31% | 55% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 77% |
| Both teams score | 78% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 27% | 57% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Atlanta United FC won 7, 5 draws, Inter Miami won 8. Per match: 3.1 goals, 9.7 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 05.09.2026: Inter Miami 2:2 Atlanta United FC
- 11.10.2025: Inter Miami 4:0 Atlanta United FC
- 16.03.2025: Atlanta United FC 1:2 Inter Miami
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 41%.