Xpect
Banfield vs Argentinos JRS: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Banfield · Argentinos JRS
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.8 corners in the match: Banfield 3.5, Argentinos JRS 5.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 39% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 61%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Banfield 2.6, Argentinos JRS 2.3; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 74%.
Result
Our model: Banfield win 29%, draw 28%, Argentinos JRS win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 45%.
Form
Banfield: last five matches — L-D-L-D-D.
- 9 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Argentinos JRS: last five matches — L-D-D-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
Table: Banfield — 24, Argentinos JRS — 2 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Banfield at home and Argentinos JRS away, 2024–2026.
| Banfield | Argentinos JRS | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 45 |
| Win rate | 31% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 26% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 52% | 67% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Banfield won 2, 3 draws, Argentinos JRS won 11. Per match: 2.6 goals, 8.7 corners, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 06.04.2026: Argentinos JRS 3:2 Banfield
- 21.09.2025: Argentinos JRS 3:0 Banfield
- 07.03.2025: Banfield 1:2 Argentinos JRS
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Banfield vs Argentinos JRS?
Our model expects 8.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 39%.
How many yellow cards in Banfield vs Argentinos JRS?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Banfield vs Argentinos JRS?
Our model: Banfield 29%, draw 28%, Argentinos JRS 43%.