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Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Boca Juniors · Talleres Cordoba
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Boca Juniors 6.1, Talleres Cordoba 3.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Boca Juniors 2.0, Talleres Cordoba 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 74%.
Result
Our model: Boca Juniors win 70%, draw 21%, Talleres Cordoba win 9%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 31%.
Form
Boca Juniors: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 17 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Talleres Cordoba: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Boca Juniors — 4, Talleres Cordoba — 21 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Boca Juniors at home and Talleres Cordoba away, 2024–2026.
| Boca Juniors | Talleres Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 45 |
| Win rate | 58% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 35% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | 8.9 | 8.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 36% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 60% |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: Boca Juniors won 7, 6 draws, Talleres Cordoba won 4. Per match: 1.6 goals, 9.4 corners, 5.4 yellow cards.
- 02.04.2026: Talleres Cordoba 0:1 Boca Juniors
- 23.11.2025: Boca Juniors 2:0 Talleres Cordoba
- 07.09.2024: Boca Juniors 1:1 Talleres Cordoba
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba?
Our model: Boca Juniors 70%, draw 21%, Talleres Cordoba 9%.