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Campobasso FC vs Perugia: prediction and statistics

Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 18 October 2026 · kick-off

Result

Our model: Campobasso FC win 50%, draw 26%, Perugia win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 48%.

Form

Campobasso FC: last five matches — W-D-L-D-D.

Perugia: last five matches — D-D-L-L-W.

Table: Campobasso FC — 9, Perugia — 8 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Campobasso FC at home and Perugia away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Campobasso FCPerugia
Matches4241
Win rate43%15%
Goals scored per match1.41.0
Goals conceded per match1.11.5
Over 2.5 goals41%49%
Both teams score50%59%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match——
Over 4.5 yellow cards——

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Campobasso FC won 3, 0 draws, Perugia won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Campobasso FC vs Perugia?

Our model: Campobasso FC 50%, draw 26%, Perugia 24%.

Other matches

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