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Latina vs Vis Pesaro: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Latina · Vis Pesaro
Result
Our model: Latina win 56%, draw 24%, Vis Pesaro win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Latina: last five matches — D-D-W-D-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Vis Pesaro: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · away
Table: Latina — 15, Vis Pesaro — 20 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Latina at home and Vis Pesaro away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Latina | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 40 |
| Win rate | 25% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Latina vs Vis Pesaro?
Our model: Latina 56%, draw 24%, Vis Pesaro 20%.