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Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · Forli
Result
Our model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win 46%, draw 28%, Forli win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Guidonia Montecelio 1937: last five matches — W-W-D-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Forli: last five matches — L-L-D-D-L.
- 7 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 — 7, Forli — 11 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at home and Forli away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Forli | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 24 |
| Win rate | 25% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 won 0, 1 draws, Forli won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 15.02.2026: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2:2 Forli
- 05.10.2025: Forli 1:0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli?
Our model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 46%, draw 28%, Forli 27%.