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Livorno vs Grosseto: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Livorno · Grosseto
Result
Our model: Livorno win 40%, draw 27%, Grosseto win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Livorno: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
Grosseto: last five matches — W-W-D-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Livorno — 4, Grosseto — 3 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Livorno at home and Grosseto away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Livorno | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 4 |
| Win rate | 52% | 75% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 75% |
| Both teams score | 65% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Livorno won 3, 5 draws, Grosseto won 2. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 26.01.2025: Grosseto 0:0 Livorno
- 29.09.2024: Livorno 5:2 Grosseto
- 31.08.2024: Livorno 3:0 Grosseto
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Livorno vs Grosseto?
Our model: Livorno 40%, draw 27%, Grosseto 33%.