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Pianese vs Pineto: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Result
Our model: Pianese win 49%, draw 28%, Pineto win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Pianese: last five matches — D-D-D-D-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · at home
Pineto: last five matches — D-D-L-D-L.
- 7 matches without a win · away
Table: Pianese — 16, Pineto — 17 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Pianese at home and Pineto away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Pianese | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 41 |
| Win rate | 40% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Pianese won 3, 1 draws, Pineto won 1. Per match: 1.8 goals.
- 08.03.2026: Pianese 1:0 Pineto
- 01.11.2025: Pineto 1:1 Pianese
- 04.05.2025: Pineto 0:1 Pianese
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Pianese vs Pineto?
Our model: Pianese 49%, draw 28%, Pineto 23%.