Xpect
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana: prediction and statistics
Bulgaria · Second League · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2.1, Montana 2.3; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win 54%, draw 24%, Montana win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — —.
Form
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: last five matches — W-W-L-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Montana: last five matches — D-L-L-D-L.
- 19 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas — 4, Montana — 15 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at home and Montana away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Montana | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 24 |
| Win rate | 50% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 38% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 55% | 63% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas won 0, 1 draws, Montana won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 06.04.2024: Montana 2:2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
- 23.09.2023: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0:1 Montana
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana?
Market line without margin: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 54%, draw 24%, Montana 22%.