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CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and statistics
Bulgaria · Second League · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: CSKA Sofia II 2.2, Sportist Svoge 2.3; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: CSKA Sofia II win 70%, draw 21%, Sportist Svoge win 9%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — —.
Form
CSKA Sofia II: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Sportist Svoge: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: CSKA Sofia II — 2, Sportist Svoge — 16 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
CSKA Sofia II at home and Sportist Svoge away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| CSKA Sofia II | Sportist Svoge | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 39 |
| Win rate | 49% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 26% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 51% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: CSKA Sofia II won 2, 1 draws, Sportist Svoge won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals, 5.5 yellow cards.
- 10.04.2026: Sportist Svoge 0:1 CSKA Sofia II
- 03.10.2025: CSKA Sofia II 6:0 Sportist Svoge
- 17.02.2025: Sportist Svoge 0:0 CSKA Sofia II
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge?
Market line without margin: CSKA Sofia II 70%, draw 21%, Sportist Svoge 9%.