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Fratria vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and statistics
Bulgaria · Second League · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Fratria 1.9, Spartak Pleven 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Fratria win 74%, draw 18%, Spartak Pleven win 8%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — —.
Form
Fratria: last five matches — L-W-W-W-D.
- 9 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Spartak Pleven: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Fratria — 3, Spartak Pleven — 13 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Fratria at home and Spartak Pleven away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fratria | Spartak Pleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 40 |
| Win rate | 53% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 43% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Fratria won 1, 2 draws, Spartak Pleven won 1. Per match: 1.2 goals, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 16.04.2026: Spartak Pleven 1:1 Fratria
- 20.10.2025: Fratria 1:0 Spartak Pleven
- 01.03.2025: Fratria 0:2 Spartak Pleven
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Fratria vs Spartak Pleven?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.
Who is more likely to win Fratria vs Spartak Pleven?
Market line without margin: Fratria 74%, draw 18%, Spartak Pleven 8%.