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Hebar 1918 vs Dobrudzha: prediction and statistics
Bulgaria · Second League · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Hebar 1918 2.3, Dobrudzha 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 74%.
Result
Market line without margin: Hebar 1918 win 68%, draw 21%, Dobrudzha win 11%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — —.
Form
Hebar 1918: last five matches — D-L-W-D-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Dobrudzha: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 9 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · away
Table: Hebar 1918 — 10, Dobrudzha — 17 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Hebar 1918 at home and Dobrudzha away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Hebar 1918 | Dobrudzha | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 23 |
| Win rate | 35% | 35% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 65% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 61% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Hebar 1918 won 2, 1 draws, Dobrudzha won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 30.04.2022: Hebar 1918 2:0 Dobrudzha
- 30.10.2021: Dobrudzha 0:1 Hebar 1918
- 11.05.2021: Hebar 1918 1:1 Dobrudzha
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Hebar 1918 vs Dobrudzha?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Hebar 1918 vs Dobrudzha?
Market line without margin: Hebar 1918 68%, draw 21%, Dobrudzha 11%.