Xpect
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek: prediction and statistics
Bulgaria · Second League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2.2, Marek 2.9; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 57% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 57%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win 38%, draw 31%, Marek win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — —.
Form
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: last five matches — D-L-W-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Marek: last five matches — L-L-L-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa — 9, Marek — 12 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa at home and Marek away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Marek | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 41 |
| Win rate | 45% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 24% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 32% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 59% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa won 1, 1 draws, Marek won 2. Per match: 2.5 goals, 6.5 yellow cards.
- 21.03.2026: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0:1 Marek
- 13.09.2025: Marek 1:1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- 29.03.2025: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 4:1 Marek
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek?
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 57%.
Who is more likely to win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek?
Market line without margin: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 38%, draw 31%, Marek 31%.