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Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and statistics
Bulgaria · Second League · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Ludogorets II 2.1, Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 74%.
Result
Market line without margin: Ludogorets II win 43%, draw 26%, Etar Veliko Tarnovo win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — —.
Form
Ludogorets II: last five matches — W-W-L-D-D.
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Etar Veliko Tarnovo: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Ludogorets II — 14, Etar Veliko Tarnovo — 11 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Ludogorets II at home and Etar Veliko Tarnovo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Ludogorets II | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 39 |
| Win rate | 49% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 41% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Ludogorets II won 4, 2 draws, Etar Veliko Tarnovo won 4. Per match: 2.1 goals, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 15.05.2026: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1:0 Ludogorets II
- 28.11.2025: Ludogorets II 0:1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
- 18.05.2025: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1:1 Ludogorets II
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 55%.
Who is more likely to win Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
Market line without margin: Ludogorets II 43%, draw 26%, Etar Veliko Tarnovo 31%.