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Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone A · 19 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Cittadella · Arzignano Valchiampo
Result
Our model: Cittadella win 50%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 48%.
Form
Cittadella: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
Arzignano Valchiampo: last five matches — D-D-L-W-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Cittadella — 1, Arzignano Valchiampo — 5 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cittadella at home and Arzignano Valchiampo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cittadella | Arzignano Valchiampo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 42 |
| Win rate | 50% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Cittadella won 1, 1 draws, Arzignano Valchiampo won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 03.05.2026: Cittadella 2:2 Arzignano Valchiampo
- 22.03.2026: Arzignano Valchiampo 1:0 Cittadella
- 15.11.2025: Cittadella 1:0 Arzignano Valchiampo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Our model: Cittadella 50%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 24%.