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Folgore Caratese vs Treviso: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone A · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Folgore Caratese · Treviso
Result
Our model: Folgore Caratese win 42%, draw 28%, Treviso win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
Folgore Caratese: last five matches — W-L-L-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Treviso: last five matches — L-L-D-D-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Folgore Caratese — 16, Treviso — 7 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Folgore Caratese at home and Treviso away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Folgore Caratese | Treviso | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Win rate | 0% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Folgore Caratese won 1, 0 draws, Treviso won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 13.05.2026: Folgore Caratese 2:0 Treviso
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Folgore Caratese vs Treviso?
Our model: Folgore Caratese 42%, draw 28%, Treviso 30%.