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PRO Vercelli vs Lecco: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone A · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Result
Our model: PRO Vercelli win 28%, draw 27%, Lecco win 45%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
PRO Vercelli: last five matches — D-D-W-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Lecco: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: PRO Vercelli — 15, Lecco — 12 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
PRO Vercelli at home and Lecco away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| PRO Vercelli | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 42 |
| Win rate | 38% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: PRO Vercelli won 3, 4 draws, Lecco won 6. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 08.02.2026: Lecco 0:2 PRO Vercelli
- 25.09.2025: PRO Vercelli 0:1 Lecco
- 09.02.2025: Lecco 2:1 PRO Vercelli
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win PRO Vercelli vs Lecco?
Our model: PRO Vercelli 28%, draw 27%, Lecco 45%.