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CS Sfaxien vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: prediction and statistics
Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: CS Sfaxien · Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Before kick-off
CS Sfaxien host Jeunesse Sportive Omrane in Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — CS Sfaxien are 8th, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 9th in a table of 16.
CS Sfaxien arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Jeunesse Sportive Omrane no victory — 3 draws and 2 defeats. Counted in points, CS Sfaxien took 13 from that stretch and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane only 3.
Home advantage matters here: CS Sfaxien have 19 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats in 33 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.5 per game. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane find it hard on the road: 3 wins, 10 draws and 20 defeats in 33 away matches, 0.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.8 per game in home matches of CS Sfaxien and 2.1 in away matches of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 2 in 5 meetings. Last time out (1 February 2026) it ended Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1:0 CS Sfaxien. On average these meetings produce 1.2 goals.
Form
CS Sfaxien: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 9 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: last five matches — L-D-L-D-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: CS Sfaxien — 8, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane — 9 (of 16).
Home and away record
CS Sfaxien at home and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| CS Sfaxien | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 33 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-8-6 | 3-10-20 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.6 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: CS Sfaxien won 1, 2 draws, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane won 2. Per match: 1.2 goals.
- 01.02.2026: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1:0 CS Sfaxien
- 28.08.2025: CS Sfaxien 2:0 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- 09.02.2025: CS Sfaxien 0:0 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 2 of the 5 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 27% of CS Sfaxien home games and 36% of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane away games.
- Our model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 65%; a draw is 26%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: CS Sfaxien 1.9, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2.7; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: CS Sfaxien win 65%, draw 26%, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win 10%. Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 26%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| CS Sfaxien | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 58% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 27% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 39% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.