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Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin: prediction and statistics
Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Stade Tunisien · CA Bizertin
Before kick-off
Stade Tunisien host CA Bizertin in Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026. In the standings Stade Tunisien are 3rd and CA Bizertin 7th out of 16 teams. Stade Tunisien are in the top three.
Stade Tunisien have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. CA Bizertin are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Stade Tunisien took 8 from that stretch and CA Bizertin only 3.
Home advantage matters here: Stade Tunisien have 17 wins, 11 draws and 4 defeats in 32 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. CA Bizertin find it hard on the road: 4 wins, 7 draws and 22 defeats in 33 away matches, 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.7 per game in home matches of Stade Tunisien and 1.6 in away matches of CA Bizertin.
The 28 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Stade Tunisien 11, CA Bizertin 10, draws 7. Last time out (11 April 2026) it ended Stade Tunisien 1:1 CA Bizertin. On average these meetings produce 1.8 goals.
Form
Stade Tunisien: last five matches — L-D-D-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
CA Bizertin: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
Table: Stade Tunisien — 3, CA Bizertin — 7 (of 16).
Home and away record
Stade Tunisien at home and CA Bizertin away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Stade Tunisien | CA Bizertin | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 32 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-11-4 | 4-7-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Head to head
28 meetings in our database: Stade Tunisien won 11, 7 draws, CA Bizertin won 10. Per match: 1.8 goals.
- 11.04.2026: Stade Tunisien 1:1 CA Bizertin
- 22.10.2025: CA Bizertin 0:2 Stade Tunisien
- 11.02.2025: CA Bizertin 1:1 Stade Tunisien
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 28% of Stade Tunisien home games and 18% of CA Bizertin away games.
- Our model makes Stade Tunisien the favourite at 62%; a draw is 27%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Stade Tunisien 2.1, CA Bizertin 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 45%.
Result
Our model: Stade Tunisien win 62%, draw 27%, CA Bizertin win 11%. Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 27%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Stade Tunisien | CA Bizertin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 53% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 18% |
| Both teams score | 34% | 18% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 56% | 31% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.