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Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportivo Riestra · Union Santa Fe
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.8 corners in the match: Deportivo Riestra 4.4, Union Santa Fe 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 39% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 61%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards: Deportivo Riestra 2.7, Union Santa Fe 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 60% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Riestra win 37%, draw 29%, Union Santa Fe win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Deportivo Riestra: last five matches — D-D-D-L-D.
- 10 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Union Santa Fe: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Deportivo Riestra — 28, Union Santa Fe — 18 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportivo Riestra at home and Union Santa Fe away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Riestra | Union Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 45 |
| Win rate | 42% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 18% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 24% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 8.4 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 42% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Deportivo Riestra won 0, 1 draws, Union Santa Fe won 1. Per match: 1.0 goals, 7.5 corners, 3.0 yellow cards.
- 03.04.2026: Union Santa Fe 2:0 Deportivo Riestra
- 31.08.2024: Union Santa Fe 0:0 Deportivo Riestra
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Our model expects 8.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 39%.
How many yellow cards in Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 60%.
Who is more likely to win Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Our model: Deportivo Riestra 37%, draw 29%, Union Santa Fe 35%.