Xpect
Dodoma Jiji vs Fountain Gate: prediction and statistics
Tanzania · Ligi Kuu Bara · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Dodoma Jiji · Fountain Gate
Before kick-off
Dodoma Jiji host Fountain Gate in Ligi Kuu Bara on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Dodoma Jiji are 5th of 16, Fountain Gate 15th — a gap of 10 places. Fountain Gate are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Dodoma Jiji have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Fountain Gate no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats. Counted in points, Dodoma Jiji took 8 from that stretch and Fountain Gate only 2.
The home record of Dodoma Jiji (2024–2026) is balanced: 17 wins, 10 draws and 7 defeats in 34 matches, 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Fountain Gate find it hard on the road: 7 wins, 8 draws and 22 defeats in 37 away matches, 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
The 8 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Dodoma Jiji 2, Fountain Gate 4, draws 2. Last time out (3 April 2026) it ended Dodoma Jiji 3:0 Fountain Gate. On average these meetings produce 1.9 goals.
Form
Dodoma Jiji: last five matches — L-W-W-D-D.
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Fountain Gate: last five matches — L-L-D-D-L.
- 9 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Dodoma Jiji — 5, Fountain Gate — 15 (of 16).
Home and away record
Dodoma Jiji at home and Fountain Gate away, 2024–2026.
| Dodoma Jiji | Fountain Gate | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 37 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-10-7 | 7-8-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Dodoma Jiji won 2, 2 draws, Fountain Gate won 4. Per match: 1.9 goals.
- 03.04.2026: Dodoma Jiji 3:0 Fountain Gate
- 17.10.2025: Fountain Gate 1:0 Dodoma Jiji
- 22.02.2025: Dodoma Jiji 1:0 Fountain Gate
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 35% of Dodoma Jiji home games and 46% of Fountain Gate away games.
- Our model makes Dodoma Jiji the favourite at 55%; a draw is 26%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.0 yellow cards: Dodoma Jiji 1.5, Fountain Gate 1.5; typical match of the competition — 3.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 19% (typical match — 19%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 64%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: Dodoma Jiji win 55%, draw 26%, Fountain Gate win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 42%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Dodoma Jiji | Fountain Gate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 32% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | 3.0 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 10% | 8% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.