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Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union: prediction and statistics
Tanzania · Ligi Kuu Bara · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Pamba Jiji · Coastal Union
Before kick-off
Pamba Jiji host Coastal Union in Ligi Kuu Bara on 21 November 2026. In the standings Pamba Jiji are 14th and Coastal Union 10th out of 16 teams. Pamba Jiji are in the bottom three.
Results have gone against Pamba Jiji recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Coastal Union are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 4 and 4.
The home record of Pamba Jiji (2024–2026) is balanced: 12 wins, 13 draws and 10 defeats in 35 matches, 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Coastal Union find it hard on the road: 4 wins, 12 draws and 18 defeats in 34 away matches, 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.1 per game in home matches of Pamba Jiji and 2.2 in away matches of Coastal Union.
The 4 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Pamba Jiji 2, Coastal Union 2, draws 0. Last time out (30 June 2026) it ended Coastal Union 2:1 Pamba Jiji. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Pamba Jiji: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Coastal Union: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
Table: Pamba Jiji — 14, Coastal Union — 10 (of 16).
Home and away record
Pamba Jiji at home and Coastal Union away, 2024–2026.
| Pamba Jiji | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 34 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-13-10 | 4-12-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Pamba Jiji won 2, 0 draws, Coastal Union won 2. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 30.06.2026: Coastal Union 2:1 Pamba Jiji
- 06.02.2026: Pamba Jiji 3:0 Coastal Union
- 15.02.2025: Pamba Jiji 2:0 Coastal Union
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 37% of Pamba Jiji home games and 41% of Coastal Union away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Pamba Jiji 42%, draw 27%, Coastal Union 30%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards: Pamba Jiji 1.7, Coastal Union 1.2; typical match of the competition — 3.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 16% (typical match — 19%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 68%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: Pamba Jiji win 42%, draw 27%, Coastal Union win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Pamba Jiji | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 34% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | 4.0 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 21% | 0% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.