Xpect
JKT Tanzania vs Simba: prediction and statistics
Tanzania · Ligi Kuu Bara · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: JKT Tanzania · Simba
Before kick-off
Ligi Kuu Bara, 21 November 2026: JKT Tanzania are at home to Simba. JKT Tanzania go into the match 4th of 16 in the table, Simba are 1st.
Few sides are in better shape than JKT Tanzania right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Simba arrive in excellent form: 5 wins in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) JKT Tanzania have 14 wins, 14 draws and 8 defeats in 36 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Simba travel well: 28 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat in 35 away matches, with 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.0 per game in home matches of JKT Tanzania and 2.2 in away matches of Simba.
Head to head, Simba have the upper hand: 9 wins in 10 meetings with JKT Tanzania in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Simba 1:0 JKT Tanzania. On average these meetings produce 2.1 goals.
Form
JKT Tanzania: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
Simba: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 37 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 22 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: JKT Tanzania — 4, Simba — 1 (of 16).
Home and away record
JKT Tanzania at home and Simba away, 2024–2026.
| JKT Tanzania | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 35 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-14-8 | 28-6-1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: JKT Tanzania won 1, 0 draws, Simba won 9. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 06.05.2026: Simba 1:0 JKT Tanzania
- 08.11.2025: JKT Tanzania 1:2 Simba
- 05.05.2025: JKT Tanzania 0:1 Simba
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Simba is the more likely winner in our model: 67%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 39% of JKT Tanzania’s home matches and 43% of Simba’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Simba: 9 wins in 10 meetings with JKT Tanzania.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: JKT Tanzania 2.5, Simba 1.1; typical match of the competition — 3.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 19%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 70%, typical match 81%.
Result
Our model: JKT Tanzania win 11%, draw 22%, Simba win 67%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 35%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| JKT Tanzania | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 39% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 29% |
| Total corners per match | 6.0 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 23% | 15% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.