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Fatima vs Académico de Viseu: prediction and statistics
Portugal · Taça de Portugal · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Fatima · Académico de Viseu
Result
Our model: Fatima win 5%, draw 16%, Académico de Viseu win 78%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 28%.
Form
Fatima: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.
Académico de Viseu: last five matches — D-D-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Fatima at home and Académico de Viseu away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fatima | Académico de Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Win rate | 67% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Fatima vs Académico de Viseu?
Our model: Fatima 5%, draw 16%, Académico de Viseu 78%.