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FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: FC Dallas · Portland Timbers
Before kick-off
MLS, 21 November 2026: FC Dallas are at home to Portland Timbers. FC Dallas sit 4th in the 30-team table while Portland Timbers are 14th, so 10 places separate the two sides.
Few sides are in better shape than FC Dallas right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Portland Timbers have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 12 for FC Dallas against 7 for Portland Timbers.
At home (2024–2026) FC Dallas have 25 wins, 11 draws and 16 defeats in 52 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Portland Timbers — 11 wins, 14 draws and 29 defeats in 54 away matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.2 per game in home matches of FC Dallas and 3.1 in away matches of Portland Timbers.
Head to head there is no clear master over 37 meetings — wins: FC Dallas 12, Portland Timbers 11; draws: 14. The most recent meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished FC Dallas 2:1 Portland Timbers. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
FC Dallas: last five matches — W-W-W-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Portland Timbers: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: FC Dallas — 4, Portland Timbers — 14 (of 30).
Home and away record
FC Dallas at home and Portland Timbers away, 2024–2026.
| FC Dallas | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 54 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 25-11-16 | 11-14-29 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
Head to head
37 meetings in our database: FC Dallas won 12, 14 draws, Portland Timbers won 11. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 13.09.2026: FC Dallas 2:1 Portland Timbers
- 23.07.2026: Portland Timbers 2:2 FC Dallas
- 28.09.2025: Portland Timbers 2:2 FC Dallas
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 60% of FC Dallas’s home matches and 56% of Portland Timbers’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: FC Dallas 5.2, Portland Timbers 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: FC Dallas 2.0, Portland Timbers 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 62%.
Result
Our model: FC Dallas win 50%, draw 22%, Portland Timbers win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 66%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| FC Dallas | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 48% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 9.4 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 48% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.