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New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: New England Revolution · Philadelphia Union
Before kick-off
MLS, 21 November 2026: New England Revolution are at home to Philadelphia Union. New England Revolution sit 5th in the 30-team table while Philadelphia Union are 11th, so 6 places separate the two sides.
Recent results of New England Revolution are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Philadelphia Union have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 9 against 10.
At home (2024–2026) New England Revolution have 20 wins, 10 draws and 21 defeats in 51 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The away record of Philadelphia Union: 20 wins, 10 draws and 22 defeats in 52 matches, with 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 47 meetings — wins: New England Revolution 12, Philadelphia Union 27; draws: 8. The most recent meeting, on 24 October 2026, finished Philadelphia Union 1:2 New England Revolution. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
New England Revolution: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
Philadelphia Union: last five matches — W-W-W-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: New England Revolution — 5, Philadelphia Union — 11 (of 30).
Home and away record
New England Revolution at home and Philadelphia Union away, 2024–2026.
| New England Revolution | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 52 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-10-21 | 20-10-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Head to head
47 meetings in our database: New England Revolution won 12, 8 draws, Philadelphia Union won 27. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 24.10.2026: Philadelphia Union 1:2 New England Revolution
- 09.05.2026: New England Revolution 2:1 Philadelphia Union
- 20.09.2025: Philadelphia Union 1:0 New England Revolution
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 57% of New England Revolution’s home matches and 64% of Philadelphia Union’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Philadelphia Union: 5.8 against 4.2 for New England Revolution.
- No clear favourite in our model: 33% – 23% – 44%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: New England Revolution 4.2, Philadelphia Union 5.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: New England Revolution 1.9, Philadelphia Union 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 62%.
Result
Our model: New England Revolution win 33%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 64%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| New England Revolution | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 39% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 64% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 55% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 50% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.