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FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: FC Utrecht · SC Cambuur
Before kick-off
Eredivisie, 21 November 2026: FC Utrecht are at home to SC Cambuur. FC Utrecht go into the match 14th of 18 in the table, SC Cambuur are 10th.
An uneven run for FC Utrecht: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. SC Cambuur arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 11 for SC Cambuur against 5 for FC Utrecht.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) FC Utrecht have 20 wins, 8 draws and 12 defeats in 40 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The away record of SC Cambuur: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 6 matches, with 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.1 per game in home matches of FC Utrecht and 3.7 in away matches of SC Cambuur.
Head to head there is no clear master over 12 meetings — wins: FC Utrecht 4, SC Cambuur 5; draws: 3. The most recent meeting, on 24 July 2026, finished SC Cambuur 1:0 FC Utrecht. On average these meetings produce 3.1 goals.
Form
FC Utrecht: last five matches — L-D-W-D-L.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
SC Cambuur: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 wins in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: FC Utrecht — 14, SC Cambuur — 10 (of 18).
Home and away record
FC Utrecht at home and SC Cambuur away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Utrecht | SC Cambuur | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-8-12 | 2-2-2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: FC Utrecht won 4, 3 draws, SC Cambuur won 5. Per match: 3.1 goals.
- 24.07.2026: SC Cambuur 1:0 FC Utrecht
- 06.05.2023: SC Cambuur 0:3 FC Utrecht
- 13.08.2022: FC Utrecht 0:0 SC Cambuur
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- FC Utrecht is the more likely winner in our model: 55%, draw 21%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of FC Utrecht’s home matches and 67% of SC Cambuur’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from FC Utrecht: 7.2 against 3.0 for SC Cambuur.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: FC Utrecht 7.2, SC Cambuur 3.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: FC Utrecht 1.6, SC Cambuur 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 25% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 75%, typical match 76%.
Result
Our model: FC Utrecht win 55%, draw 21%, SC Cambuur win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 66%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| FC Utrecht | SC Cambuur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 83% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 25% | 67% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.