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Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe: prediction and statistics

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · 18 October 2026 · kick-off

Result

Our model: Felgueiras 1932 win 53%, draw 27%, Fafe win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 42%.

Form

Felgueiras 1932: last five matches — .

Fafe: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.

Team statistics for three seasons

Felgueiras 1932 at home and Fafe away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Felgueiras 1932Fafe
Matches—4
Win rate—75%
Goals scored per match—0.8
Goals conceded per match—0.5
Over 2.5 goals—0%
Both teams score—0%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match—3.5
Over 4.5 yellow cards—50%

Head to head

9 meetings in our database: Felgueiras 1932 won 7, 1 draws, Fafe won 1. Per match: 2.3 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe?

Our model: Felgueiras 1932 53%, draw 27%, Fafe 20%.

Other matches

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