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Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 21 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Llaneros · Deportivo Cali
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 30% – 29% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 37% of Llaneros’s home matches and 35% of Deportivo Cali’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Llaneros: 5.4 against 4.0 for Deportivo Cali.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Llaneros 5.4, Deportivo Cali 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 6.0 yellow cards: Llaneros 3.1, Deportivo Cali 2.9; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 71% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 71%, typical match 67%.
Result
Our model: Llaneros win 30%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cali win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Llaneros: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Deportivo Cali: last five matches — L-D-W-W-D.
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Llaneros — 14, Deportivo Cali — 6 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Llaneros at home and Deportivo Cali away, 2024–2026.
| Llaneros | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 55 |
| Win rate | 34% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 35% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 73% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Llaneros won 1, 1 draws, Deportivo Cali won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals, 11.0 corners, 5.7 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2026: Deportivo Cali 1:1 Llaneros
- 02.08.2025: Deportivo Cali 0:3 Llaneros
- 18.02.2025: Llaneros 0:1 Deportivo Cali
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
Our model expects 9.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
Our model expects 6.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 71%.
Who is more likely to win Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
Our model: Llaneros 30%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cali 41%.