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Manchester City vs Ipswich Town: prediction and statistics
England · Premier League · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Manchester City 6.0, Ipswich Town 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 53%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Manchester City 1.8, Ipswich Town 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 50%.
Result
Market line without margin: Manchester City win 74%, draw 16%, Ipswich Town win 10%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Manchester City: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 7 wins in a row · all competitions
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Ipswich Town: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Manchester City — 1, Ipswich Town — 11 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
Manchester City at home and Ipswich Town away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Manchester City | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 22 |
| Win rate | 73% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 64% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 68% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63% | 68% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 36% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Manchester City won 5, 1 draws, Ipswich Town won 2. Per match: 3.9 goals, 11.0 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.
- 19.01.2025: Ipswich Town 0:6 Manchester City
- 24.08.2024: Manchester City 4:1 Ipswich Town
- 07.05.2001: Ipswich Town 2:1 Manchester City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Market line without margin: Manchester City 74%, draw 16%, Ipswich Town 10%.