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MC Oran vs JS Saoura: prediction and statistics
Algeria · Ligue 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: MC Oran · JS Saoura
Before kick-off
MC Oran host JS Saoura in Ligue 1 on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: MC Oran are 5th of 16, JS Saoura 14th — a gap of 9 places. JS Saoura are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
MC Oran arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought JS Saoura no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats. Counted in points, MC Oran took 11 from that stretch and JS Saoura only 1.
Home advantage matters here: MC Oran have 22 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats in 34 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Away from home JS Saoura have 8 wins, 8 draws and 19 defeats in 35 matches, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.8 per game in home matches of MC Oran and 2.0 in away matches of JS Saoura.
The 18 previous meetings are fairly balanced — MC Oran 6, JS Saoura 6, draws 6. Last time out (13 March 2026) it ended JS Saoura 2:0 MC Oran. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
MC Oran: last five matches — W-W-D-W-D.
- 11 matches unbeaten · at home
- 9 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
JS Saoura: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 8 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 7 matches without a win · away
- 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: MC Oran — 5, JS Saoura — 14 (of 16).
Home and away record
MC Oran at home and JS Saoura away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| MC Oran | JS Saoura | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 35 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 22-9-3 | 8-8-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: MC Oran won 6, 6 draws, JS Saoura won 6. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 13.03.2026: JS Saoura 2:0 MC Oran
- 18.10.2025: MC Oran 1:1 JS Saoura
- 12.02.2025: JS Saoura 2:0 MC Oran
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 29% of MC Oran home games and 34% of JS Saoura away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: MC Oran 2.2, JS Saoura 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 66%.
Result
Our model: MC Oran win 46%, draw 32%, JS Saoura win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 34%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| MC Oran | JS Saoura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 65% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 32% | 37% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 65% | 43% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.