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New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: New England Revolution 5.5, Chicago Fire 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: New England Revolution 1.7, Chicago Fire 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 62%.
Form
New England Revolution: last five matches — W-L-D-W-L.
- 9 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Chicago Fire: last five matches — L-D-D-L-W.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: New England Revolution — 8, Chicago Fire — 4 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
New England Revolution at home and Chicago Fire away, 2024–2026.
| New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 49 |
| Win rate | 38% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 76% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 74% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 33% |
Head to head
38 meetings in our database: New England Revolution won 14, 13 draws, Chicago Fire won 11. Per match: 3.0 goals, 10.6 corners, 3.5 yellow cards.
- 13.09.2026: Chicago Fire 1:2 New England Revolution
- 18.10.2025: New England Revolution 2:2 Chicago Fire
- 07.09.2025: Chicago Fire 3:2 New England Revolution
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 34%.