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Orlando City SC vs DC United: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Orlando City SC 5.6, DC United 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Orlando City SC 2.1, DC United 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 57%.
Form
Orlando City SC: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
DC United: last five matches — D-D-L-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Orlando City SC — 14, DC United — 25 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Orlando City SC at home and DC United away, 2024–2026.
| Orlando City SC | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 47 |
| Win rate | 48% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 43% |
Head to head
23 meetings in our database: Orlando City SC won 9, 4 draws, DC United won 10. Per match: 3.4 goals, 10.5 corners, 4.1 yellow cards.
- 25.04.2026: DC United 3:2 Orlando City SC
- 13.09.2025: DC United 1:1 Orlando City SC
- 22.03.2025: Orlando City SC 4:1 DC United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Orlando City SC vs DC United?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Orlando City SC vs DC United?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.