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PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: PEC Zwolle 5.5, Go Ahead Eagles 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 50%, typical match 45%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.1 yellow cards: PEC Zwolle 1.3, Go Ahead Eagles 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 20% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 62%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: PEC Zwolle win 33%, draw 23%, Go Ahead Eagles win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
PEC Zwolle: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · at home
- 4 matches without a win · at home
Go Ahead Eagles: last five matches — W-D-L-D-D.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: PEC Zwolle — 16, Go Ahead Eagles — 8 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
PEC Zwolle at home and Go Ahead Eagles away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| PEC Zwolle | Go Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 38 |
| Win rate | 41% | 16% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 11.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 61% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 27% | 18% |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: PEC Zwolle won 3, 4 draws, Go Ahead Eagles won 7. Per match: 2.8 goals, 10.9 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.
- 05.04.2026: Go Ahead Eagles 5:0 PEC Zwolle
- 21.09.2025: PEC Zwolle 0:2 Go Ahead Eagles
- 11.05.2025: PEC Zwolle 1:1 Go Ahead Eagles
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Our model expects 10.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 63%.
How many yellow cards in PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Our model expects 3.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 20%.
Who is more likely to win PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Our model: PEC Zwolle 33%, draw 23%, Go Ahead Eagles 44%.