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ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.5 corners in the match: ADO Den Haag 5.7, PSV Eindhoven 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: ADO Den Haag 1.7, PSV Eindhoven 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 51%, typical match 42%.
Result
Market line without margin: ADO Den Haag win 10%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven win 75%. Over 2.5 goals — 78%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
ADO Den Haag: last five matches — W-D-L-L-D.
- 8 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
PSV Eindhoven: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: ADO Den Haag — 17, PSV Eindhoven — 1 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
ADO Den Haag at home and PSV Eindhoven away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| ADO Den Haag | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 38 |
| Win rate | 0% | 76% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 84% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 76% |
| Total corners per match | 6.0 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | 58% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 24% |
Head to head
34 meetings in our database: ADO Den Haag won 1, 5 draws, PSV Eindhoven won 28. Per match: 3.8 goals, 10.8 corners, 1.4 yellow cards.
- 02.03.2023: PSV Eindhoven 3:1 ADO Den Haag
- 13.02.2021: ADO Den Haag 2:2 PSV Eindhoven
- 01.11.2020: PSV Eindhoven 4:0 ADO Den Haag
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our model expects 10.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Market line without margin: ADO Den Haag 10%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven 75%.