XpectXpect

Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta: prediction and statistics

Indonesia · Liga 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Liga 1, 21 November 2026: Persik Kediri are at home to PSIM Yogyakarta. Persik Kediri go into the match 13th of 18 in the table, PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th. PSIM Yogyakarta are in the bottom three.

An uneven run for Persik Kediri: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. PSIM Yogyakarta are still looking for a win: 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 6 for Persik Kediri against 1 for PSIM Yogyakarta.

At home (2024–2026) Persik Kediri have 14 wins, 11 draws and 13 defeats in 38 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of PSIM Yogyakarta: 5 wins, 6 draws and 10 defeats in 21 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 4 meetings — wins: Persik Kediri 2, PSIM Yogyakarta 1; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Persik Kediri 2:2 PSIM Yogyakarta. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.

Form

Persik Kediri: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.

PSIM Yogyakarta: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.

Table: Persik Kediri — 13, PSIM Yogyakarta — 17 (of 18).

Home and away record

Persik Kediri at home and PSIM Yogyakarta away, 2024–2026.

Persik KediriPSIM Yogyakarta
Matches3821
Wins · draws · losses14-11-135-6-10
Goals scored per match1.21.1
Goals conceded per match1.31.3

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Persik Kediri won 2, 1 draws, PSIM Yogyakarta won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Persik Kediri’s home matches and 48% of PSIM Yogyakarta’s away matches over three seasons.

Yellow cards

54%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Persik Kediri 1.9, PSIM Yogyakarta 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 46%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 54%.

Result

Our model: Persik Kediri win 45%, draw 25%, PSIM Yogyakarta win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 55%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Persik KediriPSIM Yogyakarta
Win rate37%24%
Over 2.5 goals50%48%
Both teams score61%43%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match4.83.8
Over 4.5 yellow cards50%38%

Head to head

Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.3 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction