Xpect
PSM Makassar vs Persija: prediction and statistics
Indonesia · Liga 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: PSM Makassar · Persija
Before kick-off
PSM Makassar host Persija in Liga 1 on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Persija are 1st of 18, PSM Makassar 12th — a gap of 11 places.
PSM Makassar have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Persija: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 5 and 6.
The home record of PSM Makassar (2024–2026) is balanced: 14 wins, 13 draws and 11 defeats in 38 matches, 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. On the road Persija are a dangerous side — 13 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats in 21 away matches, 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (20 February 2026) it ended Persija 2:1 PSM Makassar.
Form
PSM Makassar: last five matches — L-D-D-W-L.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Persija: last five matches — L-W-W-L-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: PSM Makassar — 12, Persija — 1 (of 18).
Home and away record
PSM Makassar at home and Persija away, 2024–2026.
| PSM Makassar | Persija | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 21 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-13-11 | 13-1-7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: PSM Makassar won 1, 0 draws, Persija won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 20.02.2026: Persija 2:1 PSM Makassar
- 21.09.2025: PSM Makassar 2:0 Persija
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 34% of PSM Makassar home games and 52% of Persija away games.
- Our model makes Persija the favourite at 60%; a draw is 23%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: PSM Makassar 2.4, Persija 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 56% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 56%, typical match 46%.
Result
Our model: PSM Makassar win 18%, draw 23%, Persija win 60%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 50%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| PSM Makassar | Persija | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 37% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 71% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 6.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.