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Pescara vs Ostia Mare: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Pescara · Ostia Mare
Result
Our model: Pescara win 57%, draw 23%, Ostia Mare win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Pescara: last five matches — W-D-D-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Ostia Mare: last five matches — L-W-L-W-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Pescara — 10, Ostia Mare — 13 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Pescara at home and Ostia Mare away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Pescara | Ostia Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 5 |
| Win rate | 38% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Pescara vs Ostia Mare?
Our model: Pescara 57%, draw 23%, Ostia Mare 20%.