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Ravenna vs Spezia: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Result
Our model: Ravenna win 28%, draw 26%, Spezia win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.
Form
Ravenna: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
Spezia: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 14 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 9 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Ravenna — 2, Spezia — 1 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Ravenna at home and Spezia away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Ravenna | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 5 |
| Win rate | 82% | 80% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Ravenna vs Spezia?
Our model: Ravenna 28%, draw 26%, Spezia 46%.