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Real Murcia vs Zaragoza: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Real Murcia · Zaragoza
Result
Our model: Real Murcia win 43%, draw 26%, Zaragoza win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Real Murcia: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Zaragoza: last five matches — L-L-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Real Murcia — 2, Zaragoza — 1 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Real Murcia at home and Zaragoza away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Real Murcia | Zaragoza | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 4 |
| Win rate | 44% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Real Murcia won 0, 0 draws, Zaragoza won 1. Per match: 1.0 goals.
- 25.07.2023: Zaragoza 1:0 Real Murcia
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Real Murcia vs Zaragoza?
Our model: Real Murcia 43%, draw 26%, Zaragoza 32%.